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Honigstein: Bundesliga thriving in Europe

Bundesliga
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ESPN FC  By Dale Johnson

Could the Premier League lose a Champions League place?

Jurgen Klopp rues the 'decisive decisions' that he felt went against Liverpool in their 3-1 Europa League final loss against Sevilla.

NB: This is a live article updated through each matchday.

The Premier League is guaranteed to keep four Champions League places for 2017-18, but that status will be under threat from Serie A from the start of next season.

At one stage it looked like a bad 2015-16 for English clubs, coupled with another good campaign for Italian teams, was going to see the allocation of places change this season.

But despite enjoying a strong group stage it all went wrong for Italian clubs in the knockout rounds, so much so that not one of their teams made the quarterfinal stage -- the first time this has happened since 2000-01.

However, Italy will gain 3.893 points on England and Germany at the start of 2016-17 (results from 2011-12 will no longer count for the five-year calculation) so it could be all change at the end of next season.

The Premier League will have a small lead over Serie A at the start of next season of 1.952 and that is by no means unsurmountable.

Three leagues get four Champions League berths, and La Liga is way out in front and in no danger of losing a place.

Points table at the start of 2016-17:

Germany - 64.927
England - 61.034
--------------------------
Italy - 59.082

Teams score two points for a win, divided by the total number of teams a league has in European competition. This means each win (in the Champions League or the Europa League) will be worth:

Germany - 0.29 coefficient points
England - 0.29 coefficient points
Italy - 0.33 coefficient points

Half points are awarded for drawn games. 

There is also a much, much closer battle on to keep three Champions League places between France, Portugal and Russia. Only two of these leagues can keep three UCL places.

Points table at the start of 2016-17:

France - 42.249
Russia - 41.332
--------------------------
Portugal - 41.249

Dale Johnson has been an editor and journalist at ESPN for 17 years. You can follow him on Twitter @dalejohnsonESPN.

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