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Jun 21, 2014

How the U.S. can qualify for the last 16

ESPN's Mike Tirico and statistician Nate Silver go group by group to determine which teams have the best chance of advancing to the knockout phase.

Following the draw between Germany and Ghana, the United States know that victory versus Portugal will clinch a spot in the round of 16.

Here are the other scenarios for Jurgen Klinsmann's men:

Remaining fixtures:

- Sunday (6 ET): United States vs. Portugal
- Thursday (noon ET): United States vs. Germany, Portugal vs. Ghana

United States: Win vs. Portugal

- Advance to round of 16

Draw vs. Portugal

- Advance with win/draw vs. Germany

- Advance with loss to Germany AND Ghana-Portugal draw

- Advance with loss to Germany AND IF U.S. holds tiebreaker over Ghana-Portugal winner

Lose vs. Portugal

- Advance with win vs. Germany

- Advance with draw vs. Germany AND Portugal-Ghana draw AND IF U.S. holds tiebreaker over Portugal

- Advance with draw vs. Germany AND Ghana win over Portugal AND IF U.S. holds tiebreaker with Ghana

Tiebreakers

a) greatest number of points obtained in all group matches

b) goal difference in all group matches

c) greatest number of goals scored in all group matches

d) greatest number of points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned

e) goal difference resulting from the group matches between the teams concerned

f) greater number of goals scored in all group matches between the teams concerned

g) drawing of lots by the FIFA Organising Committee

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