Cristiano Ronaldo set to finish ahead of Lionel Messi in Liga goals battle
Current goals total in La Liga: Ronaldo 33-26 Messi
The Portuguese forward has a seven-goal lead over his Argentine counterpart and ESPN's projection model predicts that both will find the net on the final day of the campaign.
(Numbers for both players are based on them starting their respective games.)
2015-16 total goals projection
Ronaldo is set to win the pair's 2015-16 head-to-head scoring battle.
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2015-16 milestone projection
Messi will still end the season with an impressive haul but Ronaldo, who has played three more games, is tipped for higher numbers.
How does the projection model work?
Here's a brief explanation from its creator, ESPN Stats & Information analytics specialist Zach Bradshaw:
"These projections account for the historical performance [goals scored and minutes played] of the two players since 2010, strength of opposing defences faced [measured by SPI defensive rating], game location and the potential for injury or missing games. Based on these inputs, the predictor will estimate the chance of each player scoring any number of goals for each remaining game. From this, we can project the total number of goals scored, hat tricks and the chance of each player accruing more goals than the other over the course of the entire Liga season."